Forecasting has limitations: Essentially, we try and predict everything in life. And we know it’s never as accurate as we always wanted it to be. And so most of us have a very sceptical mind about it. This can be an advantage for you against the others if you know its limitations and work around them to your advantage. So what is its limitation? its limitation is that a single minor event can change the course of the entire trend. It’s called chaos theory or the butterfly effect. As we are facing it today. who predicted that a bat in yuan lab and its conspiracy about the corona could change all our predictions about our life? Well as it’s dramatically put, a flap of a butterfly’s wing in Brazil can cause a tornado in Texas. Corona is even more dramatic today in our own experience. But we shouldn’t scrap forecasting altogether just because it has limitations. Because leaving aside these Black Swan events, their underlying advantage of ongoingly improving our performance outweighs its limitations altogether. The Problem is we as fashion people don’t know how to measure the accuracy of our forecast and so we have built the 10 Habits and digital tools to enable us to use them in this program to see the results in our new way of working towards trend forecasting. For More In-depth illustrations Refer to the Module 10 habits of a superforecaster.